The Turkish military cargo plane crash of the 11.11.25: does the specific cork-screw spinning pattern of the vertical fall, with the burning fuel streaming from the tips of the wings, suggest the possible causes? Yes, the specific visual evidence from the

The Turkish military cargo plane crash of the 11.11.25: does the specific cork-screw spinning pattern of the vertical fall, with the burning fuel streaming from the tips of the wings, suggest the possible causes?
Yes, the specific visual evidence from the November 11, 2025, Turkish military C-130 cargo plane crash suggests certain aerodynamic conditions, which can help investigators narrow down the possible causes.
Aviation experts have indicated that the footage, which shows:

A corkscrew/spiraling fall: This is consistent with a spin. A spin occurs when an aircraft stalls (loses lift) in an uncoordinated manner, causing one wing to drop and the aircraft to rotate rapidly toward the ground.
Vertical descent: This rapid descent (recorded vertical speeds exceeded 19,000 feet per minute in the final seconds) is a characteristic of an unrecoverable stall/spin, especially at lower altitudes.
Fuel streaming from the wingtips: One expert suggested this might indicate the crew was attempting to dump fuel for an emergency landing. This action would be part of standard emergency procedures if the crew had some control but were dealing with a major issue. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]

More critically, unconfirmed videos and expert analysis of the wreckage suggest that the tail section and possibly the cockpit/front section may have separated from the main body in mid-air. This mid-air breakup is a significant piece of evidence pointing to a catastrophic structural failure, possibly initiated by:

A major technical failure: Given the C-130 is an older model (the crashed plane was reportedly 57 years old), material fatigue or improper maintenance could lead to a structural failure, though the plane had undergone recent maintenance.
An onboard explosion/sabotage: The abrupt separation of major sections of the aircraft has led some observers to speculate about external factors, although initial evidence suggests an accident. [1, 6, 9, 10, 11]

Turkish and Georgian authorities have recovered the black box and are conducting a meticulous investigation to clarify the exact cause, which is not yet definitively known. Turkey has temporarily grounded its C-130 fleet pending inspections. [9, 10, 12, 13]

AI responses may include mistakes.

[1]  flightradar24.com/blog/fligh…
[2]  reuters.com/world/europe/tur…
[3]  youtube.com/watch?v=R2y6aRyY…
[4]  tc.canada.ca/en/aviation/pub…
[5]  asn.flightsafety.org/wikibas…
[6]  reuters.com/world/europe/tur…
[7]  en.wikipedia.org/wiki/In-fli…
[8]  nytimes.com/1974/03/05/archi…
[9]  aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/1…
[10]  reuters.com/world/middle-eas…
[11]  wsj.com/articles/SB100557567…
[12]  euronews.com/2025/11/13/turk…
[13]  abcnews.go.com/International…

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— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) Nov 13, 2025