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Russia News Review – December 2021: Товарищ Путин, Вы – Большой Военный

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Russia News Review – December 2021

Michael Novakhov Retweeted Mavka Slavka@MavkaSlavka

Putin has been flexing his muscles in front of Biden: 

Oh, Putya-boy, you are so strong! We should discuss it… Do you take Testosteron or something?

View image on Twitter

Michael Novakhov@mikenov

Putin to Biden :
If you take my credit cards away (disconnect SWIFT), I will never play with you again!
Между нами все порвато И тропинка затоптата, Забирай свои игрушки ! И не писай в мой горшок!

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Michael Novakhov@mikenov

“Вопрос безопасности важен, но Путин поставил его в неудачной форме”. Глеб Павловский о переговорах России, США и НАТО https://www.currenttime.tv/a/31634530.html

“Вопрос безопасности важен, но Путин поставил его в неудачной форме”. Глеб Павловский о переговорах…

Вечером 30 декабря состоялся 50-минутный телефонный разговор между президентом России Владимиром Путиным и президентом США Джо Байденом. Официальных заявлений по итогам сделано не было, но, по словам…

currenttime.tv

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Russia News | Russia Video News | Russia, Ukraine, Nato | Putin and Putinism

Tweets 

  1. Michael Novakhov@mikenov

    My News Links – http://mynewslinks.com  | http://newsandtimes.net  | http://thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com 
    Товарищ Путин, Вы – Большой Военный,
    За Украину Вы ведёте в бой!
    А Я – Москаль-Хохол Военнопленный,
    И очень сильно Я хочу домой … 

    https://youtu.be/ohkmQfiwpZY  via @YouTube

    Michael Novakhov@mikenov

    Высоцкий – Товарищ Сталин, вы большой ученый https://youtu.be/ohkmQfiwpZY  via @YouTube

 Michael Novakhov Retweeted

Dr Alina Polyakova

@apolyakova

“Russia’s president is playing a relatively weak hand strongly. The west should not play its own strong hand weakly.” https://www.ft.com/content/a1b697b3-066f-4cb2-a5c3-20685e26cf12 

A twin-track strategy to deter Vladimir Putin

Security negotiations with Russia must have strict conditions

ft.com

    • Michael Novakhov Retweeted

      Вал Мишель@VALMICHEL7

      Над пропастью во лжи

      View image on Twitter

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Free Yury Dmitriyev NOW!!! – Russian court increases jail sentence for Gulag historian | Russia withdraws 10,000 troops at border | NATO chief seeks NATO-Russia Council meeting in January | The Grandmaster Of All Times and Tribes …

Russian Music and Songs

Russian Music and Songs

Взят под стражу первый заместитель начальника УФСИН Александр Зорин. Оборотень и садист едет в СИЗО

Алексея Навального, который отбывает наказание в расположенной в Покрове Владимирской области ИК-2 сняли с учета как склонного к побегу. Об этом сообщает РИА “Новости” со ссылкой на представителя колонии.“Он (Навальный …
upload-2021-02-02T083039Z_1705125882_RC2
123516 Газета.Ru – Новости дня

The post Газета.Ru – Новости дня: Навального больше не подозревают в склонности к побегу first appeared on Russia News Review.

Michael Novakhov retweeted: «Мы живем, под собою не чуя страны, Наши речи за десять шагов не слышны» Осип Мандельштам. 27.12.1938 г. скончался в пересыльном лагере.

Michael Novakhov retweeted:
«Мы живем, под собою не чуя страны, Наши речи за десять шагов не слышны» Осип Мандельштам. 27.12.1938 г. скончался в пересыльном лагере.

FHmnmMSXIAQyMDv.jpg:large

The post Michael Novakhov retweeted: «Мы живем, под собою не чуя страны, Наши речи за десять шагов не слышны» Осип Мандельштам. 27.12.1938 г. скончался в пересыльном лагере. first appeared on The Brookyn Times.

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Michael Novakhov@mikenov

The people who imprison their best historians, and who do not want to know their TRUE HISTORY, are doomed to repeat its tragic turns and mistakes. They are blissfully blind, led by their blind shepherds.

Michael Novakhov
@mikenov
Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty: Russian Court Hikes Sentence Of Historian Dmitriyev To 15 Years On Charges He Denies https://ino.to/zmPyfcK
Yury Dmitriyev in court on December 27.
Russian Court Hikes Sentence Of Historian Dmitriyev To 15 Years On Charges He Denies
A Russian court has increased the sentence of historian Yury Dmitriyev, the local head of the human rights group Memorial in the northwestern region of Karelia, to 15 years in prison for allegedly…
rferl.org

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Free him! NOW!

Shame on Russia – the barbaric Asiatic Tatar State of Moscovy! Shame on Putin! Shame on his Politburo! Free Yury Dmitriyev and let him come to America! 

Look for child molesters among yourselves! You are molesting and psychologically killing the whole new young generation of Russians with your lies. And all this is the retaliation for  the old story of Putin kissing little boy on a belly in public, which was also misinterpreted. 

Nikita Konkin: Boy who Vladimir Putin kissed on the stomach speaks about the 'spontaneous' gesture | The Independent | The Independent

The KGB-FSB, the KGB-FBI, and many other KGB-s use and conveniently exploit the issue of child sex abuse for their own political purposes! 

Example: Vladimir Bukovsky was falsely accused of child sex abuse crimes

Investigate these KGB-FBI monsters themselves, and put THEM in prisons!

Gulag historian Yury Dmitriyev GS https://shar.es/aWiurf

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 Michael Novakhov Retweeted
The Guardian @guardian

Russian court increases jail sentence for Gulag historian https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/27/russian-court-increases-jail-sentence-for-gulag-historian?utm_term=Autofeed&CMP=twt_gu&utm_medium&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1640602476 

Russian court increases jail sentence for Gulag historian

Yury Dmitriyev’s term increased to 15 years on charges supporters say are punishment for exposing Soviet-era crimes

theguardian.com

“Memorial rights group has declared Dmitriyev a political prisoner and says the real reason for his prosecution appears to be “his activity in preserving the memory of political repressions”.

Memorial, which investigates Soviet-era persecution of political prisoners and also campaigns against present-day rights abuses, says it could be shut by the year’s end.” 

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Russia withdraws 10,000 troops at border – Google Search 

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  1. Russia, Ukraine, Putin, Nato – Google Search https://shar.es/aWi78J  https://apnews.com/article/europe-russia-ukraine-vladimir-putin-moscow-1f80249ac893d533fb6fcfdecb3d1ad3 

    Putin to mull different options if West refuses guarantees | AP News

    MOSCOW (AP) — Russian President Vladimir Putin said Sunday he would ponder a slew of options if the West fails to meet his push for security guarantees precluding NATO’s expansion to Ukraine. Earlier…

    apnews.com

    Michael Novakhov@mikenov

    Russia, Ukraine, Putin, Nato – Google Search https://shar.es/aWi786  https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/27/ukraine-crisis-how-putin-feeds-off-anger-over-nato-eastward-expansion 

    Ukraine crisis: how Putin feeds off anger over Nato’s eastward expansion

    Russian president’s attention-seeking diplomatic demands speak to long-held grievances

    theguardian.com

Russia News | Russia Video News | Russia, Ukraine, Nato | Putin and Putinism

12.26.21

NATO chief seeks NATO-Russia Council meeting in January

Brussels (AFP) – NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg has sought a meeting of the NATO-Russia Council next month and contacted Moscow to secure its attendance, an alliance spokesman said Sunday.

Stoltenberg has on several occasions in recent months offered to resume dialogue with Moscow through this body, set up in 2002 but currently inactive because of the conflict in Ukraine.
But the Russian authorities have not responded favourably.
“We are in touch with Russia” about the January 12 meeting, said the NATO spokesman, who asked not be identified.
NATO has consistently denounced Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea from Ukraine and has called on Moscow to respect its neighbour’s territorial sovereignty.
The West has long accused the Kremlin of providing direct military support to pro-Russia separatists in eastern Ukraine, who seized two regions shortly after Moscow annexed Crimea in 2014.
Russia denies the claims and Putin has suggested that the conflict, which has claimed over 13,000 lives, is genocidal.
The Kremlin has grown increasingly insistent that the West and NATO are encroaching dangerously close to Russia’s borders.
Earlier this month, Moscow presented the West with sweeping security demands, saying NATO must not admit new members and seeking to bar the United States from establishing new bases in former Soviet republics.
The January 12 meeting is the first proposed by Stoltenberg since Moscow made its demands.
A two-day meeting of the military chiefs of NATO’s 30 member states is scheduled to start the same day in Brussels.
On Thursday, Stoltenberg reaffirmed his support for Ukraine against the military build-up across the border in Russia and the Kremlin’s increasingly aggressive rhetoric.

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putin chessboard – Google Search https://shar.es/aWiqut

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Putin is the Grandmaster Of All Times and Tribes (even if they do not play chess), Father of Putinism as the Global Geopolitical Chessboard, Master of Political Checkmates and other manipulations and disasters, including the self-inflicted ones! All this and more in the humble opinion of the unhumbled Peskov (pesok – sand). Peskov is the unsurpassed grandmaster of his own in the fine arts of throwing sand into the peoples’ eyes. Like Master like Servant.

M.N. 

cf68344b17cd95a927458e2ef6a08a70.jpg
“Putin does not calculate & nbsp; one move forward, not & nbsp; two moves forward, but & nbsp; calculates, like a real chess ; in & nbsp; such matters, you must have abilities higher than & nbsp; even a grandmaster. Therefore, & nbsp; I have no doubts that & nbsp; President Putin is calculating everything & raquo;, & nbsp; & mdash; said & nbsp; he.
On December 15 & nbsp; the Russian Foreign Ministry handed over to the American side the draft treaty between Russia and the US on & nbsp; security guarantees and & nbsp; agreement on & nbsp; security measures & nbsp; RF and & nbsp; states & nbsp; & mdash; members of NATO.
Later, Peskov said that & nbsp; Russia is interested in & nbsp; to get a response from the US and & nbsp; NATO as soon as possible to & nbsp; their proposals on & nbsp; security guarantees, but & nbsp; there is no deadline.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Maria Zakharova said that & nbsp; Russia will discuss with the & nbsp; US at the & nbsp; upcoming talks NATO’s expansion to the & nbsp; east.
Gennady Svidrigailov

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Notes on History: Trotsky assassination and Non-Aggression pact – by M.N.

I believe more and more that one of the central secret agreements of the Non-aggression Pact was the joint work on assassination of Trotsky. 
NKVD alone did not dare or was blocked from this. Abwehr bashed him over the head, literally on Stalin’s wishes and instructions. 
The need to kill Trotsky was equally and extremely important for both. 
FDR abstained, because Trotsky refused to back him up in Elections. 
Churchill also played his role, very likely. 
Stalin, rather than Trotsky was the lesser of these two evils for all these three parties: Germany, UK, and the US. 

Tweets 

Michael Novakhov@mikenov

http://TheNewsAndTimes.Blogspot.com – Review of News and Opinions from Michael Novakhov
I believe more and more that one of the central secret agreements of the Non-Aggression Pact was the joint work on assassination of Trotsky. – 6:30 AM 12/26/2021 https://shar.es/aWig8J

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  • Michael Novakhov@mikenov

    assassination and non-aggression pact – GS https://shar.es/aWigAU
    I believe more & more that one of the central secret agreements of the Non-aggression Pact was the joint work on assassination of Trotsky. NKVD alone did not dare or was blocked from this.

    View image on Twitter
    View image on Twitter
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    Michael Novakhov@mikenov

    trotsky assassination – Google Search https://shar.es/aWigJh

      • Tweets

    Michael Novakhov@mikenov

Russia News Review – http://russianewsreview.org – The News And Times Information Network – http://newsandtimes.net | http://thenewsandtimes.blogspot.comhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ezzW3jhqgME 

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Russia News | Russia Video News | Russia, Ukraine, Nato | Putin and Putinism

__________________________________________________

Главные новости – Google Новости: Путин высказался об ответных мерах России на расширение НАТО – Lenta.ru

  1. Путин высказался об ответных мерах России на расширение НАТО  Lenta.ru
  2. Путин: ответ России на расширение НАТО на восток может быть самым разным  РИА НОВОСТИ
  3. Путин: ответ России на отказ НАТО от гарантий безопасности может быть самым разным  Коммерсантъ
  4. Путин допустил «самые разные» ответы на отказ по гарантиям безопасности  РБК НОВОСТИ
  5. Путин заявил, что ответ Западу при отказе от предложений по безопасности подготовят военные  Интерфакс
  6. Посмотреть в приложении “Google Новости”

2644423 Главные новости – Google Новости

“Negotiations should not be conducted under the threat of a Russian invasion of a NATO partner, which would be “talks with a gun held to Ukraine’s head.”

Reject Russian demands on NATO status  Minneapolis Star Tribune

Putin wants his Nonaggression Pact. Analyze ziz! – By Michael Novakhov | OTD Dec 25, 1989 deposed communist President of Romania, Nicolae Ceaușescu and wife Elena executed by firing squad

My News Links – http://mynewslinks.com5:53 AM 12/25/2021 – OTD Dec 25, 1989 deposed communist President of Romania, Nicolae Ceaușescu and wife Elena executed by firing squad after being found guilty of “crimes against humanity.” https://mynewslinks.com/553-am-12-25-2021-otd-dec-25-1989-deposed-communist-president-of-romania-nicolae-ceausescu-and-wife-elena-executed-by-firing-squad-after-being-found-guilty-of-crimes-against-humanity/ 

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Russia News Review: Putin wants his Nonaggression Pact. Analyze ziz! – By Michael Novakhov

The Russian Pages – Main Menu: Russia News Review: Trump And Putin: The Kiss Of DeathPostsPosts In Brief – russianewsreview.orgOn TwitterLinksPages – russianewsreview.orgThe News And Times – Some Collected Pages – russianewsreview.orgReviews 

The Last Concert of the Alexandrov Red Army Choir (2016)
The last concert of the Twice Red Banner Song and Dance Ensemble of the Russian Army under A.V. Alexandrov at the Bolshoi Theatre in Moscow, 2016. Conductor – Valery Khalilov
In the memory of all who perished in a tragic airplane crash over the Black Sea on December 25, 2016. REST IN PEACE, DEAR ARTISTS OF THE ALEXANDROV ENSEMBLE! YOU WILL ALWAYS BE IN OUR HEARTS!

Playlist: 00:00:12 – Александровская песня (Alexandrov’s song) 00:04:23 – Шли солдаты (Soldiers walking) 00:08:24 – Казачья кавалерийская (Cossack dance) 00:13:40 – Ах, ты степь широкая (Oh, you wide steppe) 00:18:26 – Двенадцать разбойников (Twelve robberies) 00:22:45 – Эпиталама Виндекса из оперы “Нерон” (from opera “Neron”) 00:25:36 – “Хор пленных иудеев” из оперы “Набуко” (The Choir of Jewish prisoners) 00:30:02 – Итальянский парафраз (Italian paraphrase) 00:36:44 – В путь (On the way!) 00:40:28 – Смуглянка (Dark-skinned girl “Smuglyanka”) 00:44:30 – Черноглазая казачка (Dark-eyed Cossack Girl) 00:47:52 – Марш “Маршал Жуков” из к/ф “Битва за Москву” (“Marshal Zhukov” Marsh) 00:49:55 – Ты моя надежда, ты моя отрада (You are my hope, you are my joy) 00:54:40 – Калинка (Kalinka) 01:00:30 – Прощание Славянки (Farewell of a Slavic Girl)

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Russia News | Russia Video News | Russia, Ukraine, Nato | Putin and Putinism

The Biden administration warned Russia Thursday that Moscow risks seeing more U.S. and allied troops and arms closer to Russian borders if President Vladimir Putin goes ahead with an invasion of neighboring Ukraine.

A senior administration official who briefed reporters on the unfolding crisis in eastern Europe Thursday called the …
nato_russia_32820_s1440x921.jpg?380f661d
2528113 The Washington Times stories: Security

Russia News Review: Американские эксперты о пресс-конференции Путина: ничего нового | Milley speaks with Russian counterpart amid fears of Ukraine invasion | Comrade Putin, his Politburo, and the Big Ukraine Crisis – By Michael Novakhov

Аналитики отмечают, что президент России пытается создать ложный нарратив об угрозах на своей границе и пытается представить картину, которой не существует – как с точки зрения происходящего в Украине, так и в Европе и США

Новости, аналитика, репортажи о США, России и странах постсоветского пространства на страницах «Голоса Америки»: www.golosameriki.com.
Подпишитесь на наш канал в YouTube: http://bit.ly/37ZNXwA

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Russia News | Russia Video News | Russia, Ukraine, Nato | Putin and Putinism

Comrade Putin, his Politburo, and the Big Ukraine Crisis – By Michael Novakhov

Uncle Joe Jr., our little Comrade Stalin wantz hiz NONAGGRESSION PACT! First time as tragedy, second as farce. | “Amid Ukraine invasion fears, Putin says West must give NATO guarantees”.
Vladimir Putin was born on October 7, 1952. And less than a year later, the leader of the Soviet Union Joseph Stalin died at a dacha near Moscow.

Comrade Putin, his Politburo, and the big Ukraine Crisis | Post Link | Google Search
Uncle Joe Jr., our little Comrade Stalin wantz hiz NONAGGRESSION PACT! First time as tragedy, second as farce. Amid Ukraine invasion fears, Putin says West must give NATO guarantees“. 
“Repetition compulsion, acting out” – you put these and other appropriate labels on ziz adolescent psychopath who wants so badly to look and act like a Czar or a Gensec. 
Volodya-boy, get the broader perspectives, find the new paradigm, establish the new, more viable and more natural alliances, e.g. with NATO. 
Stop your half-blackmail cum half-paranoia which you practice for the entirely political purposes of the self-promotion and for your own political and personal survival. 
He gave his people the valuable warning about their National Security: “Watch NATO!” 
Volodya, ziz iz 2021, not 1951! 
You and your advisers in these matters think and act out those Stalinist stereotypes because you do not know and did not practice any other, and it feels safer to beat the same path. But most of all because these stereotypes suit you at the moment. 
You all, Putin and his Politburo are the MASTER OPPORTUNISTS, after all. 

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Quote: DПутин: “Мы должны думать о перспективах безопасности своей страны …”

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The “perspectives of the Russia’s National Security”  are rooted in Russia’s European Christian Identity, although “confused” and problematic at times, her History and Culture, extending naturally and logically into the MILITARY ALLIANCE with the West, which is NATO. 
The alliance of Russia with NATO is also the pragmatic one: “you cannot beat them, join them”, even if in the undefined future. Begin this inevitable process; for the start, leave Ukraine and others unmolested, as hard as it might feel to you, Mr. Putin. 
Michael Novakhov | 12.23.21
Putin, free the US citizens from the Russian prisons! | Michael Novakhov – @mikenov: 1. The “perspectives of the Russia’s National Security” (#Putin) are rooted in its European Christian Identity, although “confused” & problematic, History, & Culture, extending naturally & logically into the MILITARY ALLIANCE with the West, which is NATO. 2. The alliance of #Russia with #NATO is also the pragmatic one: “you cannot beat them, join them”, even if in the undefined future. Begin this inevitable process; for the start, leave Ukraine & others unmolested, as hard as it might feel to you, Mr. Putin. 

Milley speaks with Russian counterpart amid fears of Ukraine invasion

1 Share
Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Mark Milley on Wednesday spoke with his Russian counterpart amid heightened tensions over Moscow’s military presence at its border with Ukraine.
Milley spoke by telephone with Chief of Russian General Staff Gen. Valery Gerasimov to discuss “regional security-related issues of concern,” according to a readout of the call.
“The phone call is a continuation of communication between both leaders to ensure risk reduction and operational de-confliction. In accordance with past practice, both have agreed to keep the specific details of their conversation private,” the U.S. military said in the statement.
Russia has amassed roughly 100,000 troops at its border with Ukraine, sparking warnings from Western world leaders that Russia may move to invade the former Soviet state.
Russia has so far denied it is planning an invasion, and insists its forces are there in response to military moves by NATO which it claims are threatening.
Last week, Russia released draft security agreements demanding that the U.S. and NATO give legally binding guarantees that it will stop expanding further eastward, specifically by denying membership to Ukraine and other former Soviet bloc nations. Moscow also wants Western officials to promise that certain weapons would not be deployed to countries neighboring Russia.
The United States, meanwhile, has promised a “very meaningful and massive response” by Washington and its allies should Russia commit “renewed acts of aggression,” likely referring to the Kremlin’s 2014 annexation of the Crimean Peninsula.
“We’ve seen plans that Russia has to commit renewed acts of aggression against Ukraine that it could implement on very short order,” Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Tuesday.
Pentagon press secretary John Kirby also on Tuesday said the U.S. continues “to see a significant force presence near and around the Ukraine border” which “continues to be concerning.”
“We still don’t know the full intent here. And there’s no indication that [Russian President Vladimir Putin] has made a decision one way or another,” Kirby told reporters.
In an attempt to use diplomatic channels to quell the unrest, U.S., Russian and NATO officials are planning talks in January.
Moscow will also start separate negotiations with NATO in January, per Reuters. 

Tweets 

Russia News | Russia Video News | Russia, Ukraine, Nato | Putin and Putinism

Michael Novakhov@mikenov

Russia News Review – http://russianewsreview.org – The News And Times Information Network – http://newsandtimes.net | http://thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com

А к другим гражданам можно и не по-человечески?
Освободите граждан США из Российских тюрем!

https://twitter.com/KremlinRussia/status/1473975267798487045 https://twitter.com/KremlinRussia/status/1473975267798487045

The News And Times Information Network – The News And Times

Michael Novakhov@mikenov The News And Times – http://newsandtimes.net Was Sars-Cov-2 weaponized into Omicron by multiple back and forth humans – rodents passages? – Google Search https://shar.es/aW…

newsandtimes.net

Michael Novakhov Retweeted

Президент России

@KremlinRussia

В тюрьмах находятся люди, совершившие преступления, или подозреваемые, но это наши граждане и относиться к ним нужно по-человечески – Путин

Michael Novakhov – @mikenov: 1. The “perspectives of the Russia’s National Security” (#Putin) are rooted in its European Christian Identity, although “confused” & problematic, History, & Culture, extending naturally & logically into the MILITARY ALLIANCE with the West, which is NATO. 2. The alliance of #Russia with #NATO is also the pragmatic one: “you cannot beat them, join them”, even if in the undefined future. Begin this inevitable process; for the start, leave Ukraine & others unmolested, as hard as it might feel to you, Mr. Putin.

D

Путин: Мы должны думать о перспективах безопасности своей страны 

Embedded video

At Putin News Conference, a Search for Signals on Ukraine https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/23/world/europe/russia-putin-ukraine.html?smid=tw-share 

President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia with Gen. Valery V. Gerasimov, the chief of the general staff, during a Defense Ministry Board meeting on Tuesday in Moscow.

At Putin News Conference, a Search for Signals on Ukraine

At his annual appearance, President Vladimir V. Putin made comments intended to sway a domestic audience. nytimes.com

Russia News Videos

Russia News Videos

The Strategic Case for Risking War in Ukraine – WSJ | Can Russia and NATO Come to an Agreement? – Carnegie Moscow Center

The Strategic Case for Risking War in Ukraine

by @JohnRDeni https://www.wsj.com/articles/strategic-case-risking-war-ukraine-russia-invasion-putin-national-security-nato-europe-eu-11640186454?st=575j55jcw7sm5h9&reflink=desktopwebshare_twitter  via @WSJOpinion

The Strategic Case for Risking War in Ukraine

Opinion | The Strategic Case for Risking War in Ukraine

An invasion would be a diplomatic, economic and military mistake for Putin. Let him make it if he must.

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Can Russia and NATO Come to an Agreement?

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For the last month, Russia has been waging a strategic assault to stop NATO’s expansion to the east once and for all. Moscow is striving to complete what it began in 2014 in Crimea: to alter in its favor the terms on which the Cold War ended.
The campaign began on Nov. 18, when President Vladimir Putin, speaking at a meeting of senior Foreign Ministry officials, called for “serious long-term guarantees that ensure Russia’s security.”
On Dec. 1, at a ceremony for newly arrived foreign ambassadors, Putin was more specific.
“While engaging in dialogue with the United States and its allies, we will insist on the elaboration of concrete agreements that would rule out any further eastward expansion of NATO and the deployment of weapons systems posing a threat to us in close proximity to Russia’s territory. We suggest that substantive talks on this topic should be started. I would like to note in particular that we need precisely legal, juridical guarantees, because our Western colleagues have failed to deliver on verbal commitments they made.”
It would appear that Moscow began to review its “strategic patience” in relations with the West and Ukraine after NATO decided to grant Ukraine the status of Enhanced Opportunities Partner in June 2020. There was talk in Kiev of attaining the status of Major Non-NATO Ally, which would remove virtually all restrictions on military cooperation with the Americans.
This, combined with Western sanctions against Russia, a lack of progress on implementing the Minsk agreements aimed at ending the conflict in eastern Ukraine, and the immobilization of Russian tools for influencing Ukrainian politics, was seen in Moscow as an alarming sign of Ukraine’s move into the Western security orbit.
Even if the Minsk agreements are implemented in the way that Moscow would like, that still won’t enable Russia to achieve its strategic goals of keeping Ukraine in its own orbit of influence.
Reintegrating the pro-Russian breakaway Donbass region into Ukraine’s political system won’t give Russia a veto right on Ukrainian foreign or defense policy. Kiev will still be able to marginalize the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk republics, just as President Volodymyr Zelenskiy managed to do with the pro-Russian oligarch Viktor Medvedchuk, his political party, and TV channels.
Implementing the Minsk agreements may destabilize Ukraine in the short term, but Kiev will adapt rapidly, and then, NATO’s route into Ukraine — if not Ukraine’s into NATO — will be open. Moscow’s fixation on the Minsk agreements has prevented it from solving other problems in its relationship with Ukraine, and left Russia’s relationship with the West hostage to Kiev’s maneuvering.
Now Moscow is seeking a way out of the impasse by trying to reach an agreement directly with the West that NATO will conclusively cease its expansion, which would force Ukraine to hammer out its relationship with Russia on Russia’s terms. To do this, Moscow needed to create a lever of influence on Western leaders that would prevent them from dismissing Russian concerns.
That lever was provided by Russia’s increased military presence around Ukraine this year. The West believes the Russian leadership is now capable of conducting a limited military campaign against Ukraine that would force Kiev to accept terms once and for all for ending the conflict that has been simmering in the country’s east for nearly eight years now.
Moscow used this demonstration of military strength to enter into direct discussion with the United States on its agenda. Along with promises that Ukraine won’t join NATO, Russia also wants guarantees that no NATO military infrastructure or facilities will appear on Ukrainian territory, even if it does not formally join the alliance.
Moscow has made its demands public and is insisting that talks should begin as soon as possible.
Putin’s call for legally binding agreements that NATO will not expand any further east has reduced its maneuvering room.
It’s hard to imagine the alliance’s partners agreeing to any such thing, especially in a legally binding form, which would, in the United States, need to be ratified by the Senate. In any case, Moscow’s unrealistic demands — and their public announcement, when such sensitive issues are better discussed in private — have prompted suspicion in the West that they are simply a cover operation, and that the tight deadline issued by Moscow for starting talks indicates an imminent decision on a military operation.
Nor has Moscow proposed any concessions of its own in exchange for the military and political limitations it would like to impose on NATO countries and Ukraine — other than repeating an old initiative for a moratorium on deploying short- and medium-range missiles in Europe.
Still, we can assume that the military threat on Ukraine’s borders will prompt discussion within NATO of ceasing its expansion, especially if U.S. President Joe Biden (and his French counterpart Emmanuel Macron) personally bring up the issue. In the United States, the possibility has been discussed at the level of experts. The question is how to formulate such a decision in a way that would suit both sides and would not require the North Atlantic Treaty to be amended.
So is there a realistic format for a political undertaking not to expand NATO to Russia’s borders? There are two possible options. The first is to include a corresponding point in the 2022 NATO summit declaration in Madrid stating that the alliance will not expand any further to the east, and that this political declaration annuls all previous statements. That would allow NATO to disavow the declaration from the Bucharest summit in 2008, which promised that Ukraine and Georgia “will become members of NATO,” while preserving the open door policy enshrined in its founding treaty. Russia itself has already suggested something along these lines.
The second option is an analogous point in NATO’s new strategic concept, which is planned to be adopted at the Madrid summit, or a combination of both of these formats. This would not provide legally binding guarantees: NATO’s strategic concept and its summit declarations are political documents and may be reviewed. But such a declaration at the top level would allow Russia to be reasonably confident that the bloc’s expansion would come to a halt.
The political pledge made to Mikhail Gorbachev in 1990 that NATO would not expand its military infrastructure onto the territory of the former East Germany has never been broken. That is better than an unspoken promise not to accept Ukraine into NATO for another ten years. Diplomacy is the art of the possible, and this scenario, unlike others, is possible.
The reaction of the NATO leadership has so far been sharply negative, but Biden has not yet spoken on the issue. It’s true that in any case, he doesn’t have a big enough majority in the Senate right now to get any legal guarantees of non-expansion ratified there. This is why the Iran nuclear deal was formatted as a political commitment, rather than a treaty obligation. Not to mention that within NATO, all thirty member states would have to ratify treaty obligations.
Still, this should be the focus. An agreement to stop expanding NATO up to Russia’s border, regardless of its format, would be pivotal. It would open up the prospect of a different kind of relationship for Russia with the West and with Ukraine (as well as Georgia), while costing the NATO countries nothing but a change in rhetoric.
Stopping NATO’s expansion would make it possible for Moscow and Kiev to hold direct talks on a conclusive resolution to the conflict based on the real state of affairs. If the two sides manage to reach an understanding on stopping NATO’s expansion to the east, then it should be possible to reach agreements fairly quickly on other “red lines” regarding Ukraine and also arms control.
As in the late 1960s, direct interaction between Moscow and Washington could give a political framework to a future détente, within which agreements would become possible on European security. Still, escalation remains likely, due to unrealistic requirements being made under artificially short deadlines, as well as not enough emphasis on diplomacy — and too much on the military aspect.
This article was first published by the Carnegie Moscow Center.

The views expressed in opinion pieces do not necessarily reflect the position of The Moscow Times.

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In this latest meeting with the Military, like in other public meetings, Putin is carefully testing, gauging, palpating the degree of support for himself & his policies, now – his planned aggression against Ukraine. This support is not there, Putin is intensely disliked by them. M.N. | 12.22.21 | 

Russia News Review: Russia – Ukraine Conflict: Russia and U.S. to discuss Ukraine joining NATO, says Russian foreign minister. | Russia’s Putin blames the U.S. and Europe for tensions with Ukraine. | “Антидот от тирании” – Речь Дмитрия Муратова

Russia and U.S. to discuss Ukraine joining NATO, says Russian foreign min – National

Russian and U.S. negotiators will sit down for talks early next year to discuss Moscow’s demand for Western guarantees precluding NATO’s expansion to Ukraine, Russia’s top diplomat said Wednesday
Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said that Russia in January will also start separate talks with NATO to discuss the issue, adding that separate negotiations under the auspices of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe will also be held.
Last week, Moscow submitted draft security documents demanding that NATO deny membership to Ukraine and other former Soviet countries and roll back the alliance’s military deployments in Central and Eastern Europe. Washington and its allies have refused to provide such pledges, but said they are ready for the talks.
Moscow presented the demands amid soaring tensions over a Russian troop buildup near Ukraine that has stoked fears of a possible invasion. U.S. President Joe Biden warned Russian President Vladimir Putin in a conference call earlier this month that Russia will face “severe consequences” if it attacks Ukraine.
Putin has denied having plans to launch an attack but has described NATO’s expansion to Ukraine and weapons deployment of the alliance weapons there as a “red line.”
“We don’t want a war,” Lavrov said Wednesday. “We don’t want to take the path of confrontation. But we will firmly ensure our security using the means we consider necessary.”

Click to play video: 'Biden warns Putin that Russia will pay ‘a terrible price’ if it invades Ukraine' Biden warns Putin that Russia will pay ‘a terrible price’ if it invades Ukraine

Speaking in a live interview with Russian RT television, Lavrov hailed Washington’s “business-like” approach that helped quickly agree on parameters of the future talks.
He added that Moscow would be ready to consider Washington’s demands, but warned that the talks mustn’t drag out indefinitely.
“I hope that they will take us seriously given the moves we take to ensure our defense capability,” he said.
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Tuesday that Washington is working with its European allies to address what he called “Russian aggression” with diplomacy but said Biden opposes the kind of guarantees sought by Putin.
“The president has been extremely clear for many, many years about some basic principles that no one is moving back on: the principle that one country does not have the right to change by force the borders of another, that one country does not have the right to dictate the policies of another or to tell that that country with whom they may associate,” Blinken told reporters in Washington. “One country does not have the right to exert a sphere of influence. That notion should be relegated to the dustbin of history.”
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov also hailed reaching a quick agreement on the start of the talks, but noted that they should be “aimed at reaching concrete results and not become drawn out.” He added that Moscow expects Washington to present a detailed platform for the talks and be ready for a constructive discussion.
“We want these talks,” he said in a conference call with reporters. “And, certainly, the talks are held to discuss each other’s positions.”

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